2019 -Position 221
By Chris Bray, Dec 6 2019 04:41PM
Match Play 4-4 to 7. How should Red play 21?
A banana split is definitely required or else White will have an easy run home. The question is how big a play to make?
Over the board I chose 6/5, 6/4* but that play is not big enough. Any entering number by White is likely to be good enough.
Red has to play for a closeout and the best way to do that is 13/11, 5/4*. If White fans once Red will reasonable chance of winning the game and perhaps even a gammon. Even with that play Red only wins a third of the time and a high percentage of his losses will be gammon whatever he does so he may as well go for broke.
Any play other than 13/11, 5/4* an error and my play was very nearly a blunder.
I feel we have to take the initiative with a hit. So 5/4* 13/11 or 6/4* 11/10. We want 5s to escape rather than cover.
6/4*; 6/5 for me. Duplicates fours.
Unusual. A choice between Banana splits. 11/9, 5/4*?
I like 6/4*,13/12.