• 2019 - Position 82

    XGID=a--BBACBB--B---A-----cbcb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10

    Money Play. Should Red redouble? If redoubled, should White take?

    This is clearly a massive redouble.

    Even if White is closed out, he will still have about 20% winning chances. Therefore he doesn’t need to add much to get to 25% plus he will own the cube. The rollout shows that White has just enough winning chances to justify a take but I wouldn’t blame anybody for dropping this one.

    Note that White wins a gammon nearly 1% of the time which just pushes this into take territory!

    4 Comments

    • 1. May 7 2019 6:37PM by Peder

      RD/T is a reasonable guess. After a close-out White must pass, but we are not there yet.

    • 2. May 7 2019 10:52PM by Ben

      No redouble. While Red has 6's & 1's to make his prime White does have 4 checkers off. I wait a roll.

    • 3. May 7 2019 10:56PM by Ben

      I see now that Red can also close his board with double 3's. This tips the scales for me. Redouble/drop.

    • 4. May 8 2019 7:36AM by Leo

      Most rolls that make the 5 pt are market losers, and there are an awful lot of them. I can only see 54 and 44 that don't make it. Clear redouble. White has considerable compensation in the fact that he has 4 checkers off. Technically, this might be enough to take the redouble, but I have been burned so often in similar positions that I wouldn't feel too uncomfortable passing this.

Photo crop (passport)

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