• 2019 - Position 3

    XGID=-baBBC---a--------abcabaa-:1:-1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10

    Money Play. How should Red play 11?

    You wouldn’t think there would be too much difference between the plays here. Wrong!!

    Remarkably 5/3, 5/4(2) is a 2.5 blunder. It leaves White with a pseudo 1-2 back game and creates the possibility of a double shot later on. (This happened in the game from which this position was taken. White then picked up a second blot and won with a redouble.)

    Red does much better to get White off his 2-pt with 4/2(2)*. This increases Red’s winning chances by 6% to 79% over 5/3, 5/4(2). Interesting that White still has 20% winning chances so late in the game!

    3 Comments

    • 1. Jan 4 2019 4:38PM by Peder

      4/2*(2). Perhaps it eliminates a possible double shot.

    • 2. Jan 4 2019 5:49PM by Leo

      I'd clear a point and play 5/3,5/4(2).

    • 3. Jan 4 2019 6:25PM by Mackenzie

      I would do the same as Leo here. White has 13 crossovers to make in order to save the gammon, which is unlikely to happen unless they are able to get a shot. Red doesn't appear to have much to gain in the immediate future by hitting (it is very rarely correct to take risks for the backgammon). 5/3, 5/4(2).

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