2019 - Position 220
By Chris Bray, Dec 4 2019 04:00PM
Money Play. Should Red double? If doubled, should White take?
A classic prime-vs-prime situation as and as we know, (nearly) all prime-vs-prime positions are doubles and takes. Red only wins 60% of the time but two-thirds of those wins are gammons and Red must double to activate gammons.
Not doubling is. 4.5 level blunder (-0.36 in terms of equity) while dropping is merely a 2.5 level blunder (-0.20).
As I said, all prime-versus-prime positions are doubles and takes!
D7T. It's necessary to activate gammons.
It seems to me that Red is under much pressure to toss an immediate 6 or risk collapsing his board. However, White's two outfield checkers surely invite gammons.
I beaver as white.
White should drop. Too many gammons.
D/T - Lots of gammon potential for red, but white's 5pt home board is a huge asset.