• 2019 - Position 109

    XGID=--B-CBBa---A-B-A----b-cdB-:2:1:1:52:4:2:0:7:10

    Match Play. Red leads 4-2 to 7. How should Red play 52?

    Playing safe with 15/13, 11/6 is a long way wrong but so is breaking the anchor with 24/19, 11/9. That ace-point anchor is Red’s last bastion of defence and he should not give it up lightly.

    The correct play is 11/4 which leaves no direct shots and maintains that ace-point. Most of Red’s plays win about 40% of the time but giving up the ace-point anchor increases the gammon losses by 7% and that is far too high a price to pay.

    3 Comments

    • 1. Jun 17 2019 8:17PM by Leo

      11/4. Any other move looks too dangerous

    • 2. Jun 17 2019 8:20PM by Mackenzie

      I agree with Leo. I'm tempted to come off the anchor, but it just looks too big. 11/4 for me.

    • 3. Jun 18 2019 1:11AM by Ben

      15/13; 11/6 leaves no shots. This should help Red avoid a gammon here.

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